India FX FORECAST INDIA
Friday, September 18, 2026

Forex Morning Brief — India

USD/INR eases as DXY softens. Gold ticks higher ahead of RBI minutes. EUR/USD holds range.

🇺🇸🇮🇳 USD/INR
Bullish
₹95.92
Bullish
RSI 55.6 MACD
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🇪🇺🇺🇸 EUR/USD
Bullish
1.1480
Bullish
RSI 25.5 MACD
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🥇 MCX GOLD
Bullish
₹135,106 / 10g
Bullish
RSI 30.5 MACD
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As of 1:30 IST · Friday, September 18, 2026
Today's Brief · Friday, September 18, 2026

The rupee opens near ₹95.92 with USD/INR momentum still constructive (RSI 55.6, MACD rising), while EUR/USD sits deeply oversold at 1.1480 (RSI 25.5) and MCX gold at ₹135,106/10g (RSI 30.5) shows both stretched lower despite a bullish underlying bias. With no major scheduled events today, price action will likely be driven by overnight dollar flows and positioning, so watch whether USD/INR holds above ₹95.50 to confirm the bullish bias or slips toward that support.

Key events today:
Updated Sunday, September 13
🇺🇸🇮🇳 USD/INR
Neutral
Range: ₹94.61 – ₹96.49
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🇪🇺🇺🇸 EUR/USD
Bullish
Range: 1.1548 – 1.1654
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🥇 MCX Gold
Bullish
Range: ₹132,735 – ₹138,148
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Key Events This Week

DateTime ISTEventImpactPairs
Mon Jun 16 14:00 RBI MPC Minutes High USD/INR
Wed Jun 18 18:00 US FOMC Statement High EUR/USD, Gold
Thu Jun 19 18:30 US Initial Jobless Claims Medium USD/INR
Fri Jun 20 18:00 US PMI Flash Medium EUR/USD
Our Forecast Accuracy
12-week rolling
USD/INR
Range 100% Direction 83%
EUR/USD
Range 100% Direction 50%
MCX GOLD
Range 89% Direction 78%
See full track record →

Forecasts assessed against actual price action each Friday. Range hit = price traded within the weekly band at any point. Direction = closing bias matched our weekly call.

Assessed against actual price action each Friday. Figures unaudited.